Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
14.09% ( -0.09) | 20.82% ( -0.1) | 65.09% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.59% ( 0.23) | 48.41% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.45% ( 0.21) | 70.55% ( -0.21) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.16% ( 0) | 45.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.41% ( 0) | 81.59% ( 0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.9% ( 0.13) | 14.1% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.28% ( 0.26) | 41.72% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.09% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.82% | 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 65.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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