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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna logo

AC Milan
2 - 2
Bologna

Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Bologna

 Milan have won eight of 10 home games in Serie A so far, conceding just five goals in the process, and they should overcome a Bologna side that have started to stutter. The Rossoblu may be a little rusty, too, having had an unexpected two-week hiatus, so their former boss Stefano Pioli is set to see off the challenge of Thiago Motta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
50.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 24.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.012 0.01)48.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)50.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (0.019999999999996 0.02)33.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (0.018999999999998 0.02)70.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 50.5%
    Bologna 25.09%
    Draw 24.39%
AC MilanDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan
88.1%
Draw
8.7%
Bologna
3.2%
126
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
1-1
AC Milan
Sansone (1')
Pobega (40')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

Schouten (56')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
0-0
Bologna
Dijks (41'), Orsolini (90+8')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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