Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
40.29% ( -0.31) | 25.7% ( 0.12) | 34.02% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.87% ( -0.5) | 49.13% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.8% ( -0.45) | 71.2% ( 0.45) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.38) | 24.1% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( -0.55) | 58.39% ( 0.55) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -0.12) | 27.62% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -0.15) | 63.16% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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