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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Roma logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma

De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Marseille
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Atalanta BC 0-0 Roma

 Atalanta often falter against other teams in Serie A's top six, while Roma are rarely at their best away from home. Following intense Europa League semi-finals, both will also be weary, so this crucial contest could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
55.32% (-0.323 -0.32) 23.33% (0.119 0.12) 21.35% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.249 -0.25)47.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.231 -0.23)69.64% (0.233 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)17% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.364 -0.36)47.12% (0.366 0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)36.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.064 0.06)73.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 55.32%
    Roma 21.35%
    Draw 23.33%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.076 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
57.5%
Draw
29.2%
Roma
13.3%
120
Head to Head
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Atalanta
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Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Pellegrini (83')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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