Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.11% ( 0.44) | 24.96% ( 0.43) | 47.94% ( -0.87) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( -1.5) | 48.95% ( 1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( -1.37) | 71.04% ( 1.37) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( -0.45) | 32.31% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( -0.51) | 68.81% ( 0.51) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( -0.96) | 20.45% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% ( -1.54) | 52.91% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.11% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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