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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Bologna logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Bologna

Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Bologna

It will be intriguing to see if Bologna can maintain this fantastic start which has them in the running for the top four, but they are still yet to win away from home this season. Over two-thirds of Lecce's points have come at home, and the likes of Milan and Lazio have been unable to win here, so another Bologna away draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
41.59% (2.343 2.34) 26.97% (0.98 0.98) 31.44% (-3.318 -3.32)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-3.998 -4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-4.713 -4.71)54.99% (4.717 4.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-4.035 -4.04)76.26% (4.04 4.04)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)26.07% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (-1.234 -1.23)61.12% (1.239 1.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-4.52 -4.52)32.24% (4.525 4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-5.45 -5.45)68.74% (5.454 5.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.59%
    Bologna 31.44%
    Draw 26.97%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.3% (1.676 1.68)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.956 0.96)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.35 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 8.41% (1.432 1.43)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.599 -0.6)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.566 0.57)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.682 -0.68)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.657 -0.66)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.501 -0.5)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce
9.4%
Draw
46.9%
Bologna
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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