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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Udinese logo

Napoli
4 - 1
Udinese

Zielinski (19' pen.), Osimhen (39'), Kvaratskhelia (74'), Simeone (81')
Simeone (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Samardzic (80')
Perez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Serie A

Udinese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Udinese

 Lacking both the rhythm and spark of last season, Napoli are no longer the formidable force that swept aside all-comers up and down the Italian peninsula. They should, though, have enough in the tank to take care of goal-shy and injury-ravaged opponents on Wednesday; forcing Udinese to wait a little longer for an elusive first victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawUdinese
64.29% (0.59 0.59) 20.54% (-0.153 -0.15) 15.17% (-0.442 -0.44)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (-0.198 -0.2)45.06% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.19 -0.19)67.41% (0.184 0.18)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.111 0.11)13.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.89% (0.228 0.23)40.11% (-0.234 -0.23)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.75% (-0.71700000000001 -0.72)42.24% (0.71 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.35% (-0.623 -0.62)78.64% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.28%
    Udinese 15.17%
    Draw 20.54%
NapoliDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 11.43% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.69% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 64.28%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 15.17%

How you voted: Napoli vs Udinese

Napoli
83.3%
Draw
13.6%
Udinese
3.0%
66
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Udinese
1-1
Napoli
Lovric (13')
Osimhen (52')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Napoli
3-2
Udinese
Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Udinese
0-4
Napoli

Samir (56'), Molina (66')
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')
> Preview
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
5-1
Udinese
Zielinski (28'), Fabian (31'), Lozano (56'), Di Lorenzo (66'), Insigne (90+1')
Okaka (41')
Bonifazi (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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