Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 2-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
11.71% ( -1.96) | 16.75% ( -1.15) | 71.55% ( 3.11) |
Both teams to score 53.47% ( -1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.38% ( 0.47) | 35.62% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.32% ( 0.52) | 57.68% ( -0.52) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.61% ( -2.72) | 41.39% ( 2.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.1% ( -2.48) | 77.9% ( 2.48) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.23% ( 0.84) | 8.77% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.89% ( 2) | 30.11% ( -2) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.71% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.75% | 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( 0.76) 1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 5.31% ( 0.64) 1-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 2.58% ( 0.4) 1-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.05% ( 0.2) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 71.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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