Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
23.71% ( -0.03) | 24.98% ( 0) | 51.31% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.28% ( -0.02) | 51.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.51% ( -0.02) | 73.49% ( 0.02) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( -0.03) | 36.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( -0.03) | 73.46% ( 0.03) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( 0) | 20.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( 0.01) | 52.43% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 51.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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