MX23RW : Monday, June 3 10:48:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Oct 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Parque Maracaná

Cerrito
1 - 2
Nacional

Villoldo (88')
Martinez (34'), Velazquez (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fagundez (18'), Carballo (48')
Ginella (62'), Candido (86')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Cerrito
Friday, October 14 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Albion 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, October 13 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 75.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 7.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.7%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
CerritoDrawNacional
7.68% (1.328 1.33) 16.46% (1.433 1.43) 75.86% (-2.758 -2.76)
Both teams to score 38.07% (2.127 2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (-1.275 -1.28)47.13% (1.279 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-1.199 -1.2)69.37% (1.202 1.2)
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.62% (2.843 2.84)57.38% (-2.838 -2.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.75% (1.5091 1.51)89.26% (-1.506 -1.51)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.32% (-1.034 -1.03)10.68% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.43% (-2.371 -2.37)34.57% (2.374 2.37)
Score Analysis
    Cerrito 7.68%
    Nacional 75.85%
    Draw 16.46%
CerritoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 3.4% (0.459 0.46)
2-1 @ 2.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-0 @ 0.95% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 7.68%
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.726 0.73)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.322 0.32)
2-2 @ 2.37% (0.322 0.32)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.46%
0-2 @ 15.33% (-0.55 -0.55)
0-1 @ 13.7% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 11.43% (-0.95 -0.95)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.46 0.46)
0-4 @ 6.39% (-0.85 -0.85)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-5 @ 2.86% (-0.528 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-6 @ 1.07% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 75.85%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 11.30pm
Nacional
5-0
Cerrito
Gigliotti (8', 30'), Fagundez (34'), Carballo (44'), Almeida (90+5')
Fagundez (24'), Trasante (63'), Trezza (80'), Ocampo (88')

Falconis (28'), Velazquez (65'), Vega (70'), Soto (90+3')
May 29, 2022 12am
Nacional
3-0
Cerrito
Gigliotti (45+1'), Ramirez (87', 90')
Marichal (11')

Villoldo (70')
Nov 19, 2021 12.45am
Nacional
1-0
Cerrito
Fernandez (90+3')
Trasante (27'), Candido (47'), Fernandez (90+5')

Aviles (9'), Rodriguez (35')
Perujo (34'), Ferreira (90+5')
Aug 8, 2021 10pm
Cerrito
2-0
Nacional
Silvera (13' pen., 56')
Johan Perea Valencia (40')

Laborda (11'), D'Alessandro (12'), Fernandez (85'), Candido (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
7LiverpoolLiverpool144642221118
8Cerro Largo145361516-118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
11River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado144281318-514
13CerroCerro143561625-914
14DanubioDanubio143471218-613
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!