Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor3 - 3Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensor Sporting | Draw | Nacional |
35.54% ( -0.28) | 27.7% ( 0.09) | 36.76% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.89% ( -0.34) | 57.11% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.01% ( -0.27) | 77.99% ( 0.27) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% ( -0.34) | 30.58% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.19% ( -0.41) | 66.81% ( 0.41) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.18% ( -0.05) | 29.82% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( -0.06) | 65.91% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Defensor Sporting 35.54%
Nacional 36.76%
Draw 27.69%
Defensor Sporting | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.76% |
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Defensor
May 7, 2023 10pm
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 01:11:44
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PenarolPenarol | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 21 | 35 |
2 | NacionalNacional | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Boston RiverBoston River | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 24 |
4 | ProgresoProgreso | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 22 |
6 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
11 | River PlateRiver Plate | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 13 |
12 | DanubioDanubio | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rampla JuniorsRampla | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
14 | CerroCerro | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
15 | FenixFenix | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Miramar Misiones | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 8 |
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table |
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