Erzgebirge Aue

0 - 3

Werder Bremen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.