Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Apr 2, 2024 at 9am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 1
Melbourne City

Torres (54' pen.), Balard (90+3')
Roux (27')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arslan (50')
Lopane (18')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
60.54% ( -0.23)	18.54% ( -0.21)	20.92% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 69.54% (

1.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.69% (

1.68)

25.31% (

-1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.67% (

2.15)

45.33% (

-2.16)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.59% (

0.44)

8.41% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.78% (

1.07)

29.22% (

-1.07)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92% (

1.38)

24.08% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63% (

1.92)

58.37% (

-1.93)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 60.54%

Melbourne City 20.92%

Draw 18.54%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.13% Total : 60.54%	1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.54%	1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.92%