Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 28, 2024 at 6am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Davila (9'), Germain (82' pen.)
Borges Rodrigues (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Amini (72' pen.), Williams (90+3')
Colakovski (48'), Stajcic (49'), Amini (63'), Sail (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-3 Macarthur
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 20 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
54.6% ( -1.03)	21.28% ( 0.4)	24.12% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 63.53% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.18% (

-1.27)

34.82% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.21% (

-1.43)

56.79% (

1.43)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

-0.72)

12.87% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.74% (

-1.49)

39.26% (

1.49)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-0.22)

27.08% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0.28)

62.46% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 54.6%

Perth Glory 24.12%

Draw 21.28%

Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.6%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.28%	1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.82% Total : 24.12%