Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 30, 2022 at 7.45am UK

Hunter Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Adelaide United

Mikeltadze (59')
Thurgate (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Irankunda (88'), Ibusuki (90+1')
Juande (15'), Lopez (22'), Tratt (28'), Toure (29'), Ibusuki (80'), D'Arrigo (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Adelaide United
34.05%	24.33%	41.62%

Both teams to score 59.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.09%

42.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.68%

65.32%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36%

24.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85%

59.15%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25%

20.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62%

53.38%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 34.05%

Adelaide United 41.62%

Draw 24.32%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.89% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.05%	1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.62%