Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Dec 17, 2022 at 2am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
3 - 1
Adelaide United

Zawada (2'), Kraev (37'), Sasse (61')
Lewis (81'), Wootton (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Goodwin (12')
Halloran (26'), Popovic (42'), Irankunda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United
Friday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Adelaide United

After stumbling into the new campaign, Adelaide United have quickly hit their stride and put together a fine run of results in recent weeks. The Reds have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to take the positives from their draw against Brisbane Roar and claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Adelaide United
33.47% ( 1.78)	23.38% ( 0.37)	43.15% ( -2.15)

Both teams to score 63.02% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.48% (

-1.12)

38.52% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.18% (

-1.19)

60.82% (

1.19)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

0.48)

22.9% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

0.7)

56.65% (

-0.7)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-1.31)

18.26% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69% (

-2.27)

49.31% (

2.27)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 33.47%

Adelaide United 43.15%

Draw 23.38%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.47%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.15%