Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 4, 2023 at 6am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Doumbia (42'), Botic (45+3')
Prijovic (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Elsey (22')
Elsey (15'), Amini (50'), Beevers (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Western Utd
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, February 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western United 2-2 Perth Glory

We believe that this game is destined to produce a high quantity of goals, as both sides have poor defensive records and are in good scoring form as of late. We think that this game will be entertaining to watch as the two sides will trade blows, but will conclude with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Perth Glory
43.99% ( -0.25)	25.75% ( 0.08)	30.26% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.49% (

-0.25)

50.51% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.56% (

-0.22)

72.44% (

0.23)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-0.22)

22.88% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-0.33)

56.63% (

0.34)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22% (

-0)

30.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95% (

-0.01)

67.05% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Western United 43.98%

Perth Glory 30.27%

Draw 25.74%

Western United	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.27%