AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Istiqlol Dushanbe1 - 1Al-Nassr
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Nassr.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al-Nassr
Friday, December 1 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, December 1 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Nassr |
26.43% ( -0.49) | 22.77% ( -0.03) | 50.8% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.29% ( -0.28) | 39.71% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.94% ( -0.29) | 62.06% ( 0.29) |
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% ( -0.5) | 27.97% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( -0.64) | 63.61% ( 0.64) |
Al-Nassr Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.2% ( 0.08) | 15.8% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.04% ( 0.14) | 44.96% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Istiqlol Dushanbe 26.43%
Al-Nassr 50.81%
Draw 22.76%
Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Nassr |
2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.66% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.81% |
How you voted: Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr
Istiqlol Dushanbe
0.0%Draw
16.7%Al-Nassr
83.3%12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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