Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals

Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Cape Verde
0 - 0
South Africa

Mendes (27')

FT
(aet)

South Africa win 2-1 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Morocco 0-2 South Africa
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

We say: Cape Verde 2-1 South Africa

South Africa have interestingly never defeated Cape Verde in three previous meetings, and Bubista's troops could extend that unbeaten run to four with a victory over Bafana Bafana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	South Africa
46.49% ( 0.48)	27.25% ( -0.47)	26.26% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.42% (

1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.71% (

1.63)

58.29% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.08% (

1.26)

78.92% (

-1.26)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

0.98)

25.08% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

1.33)

59.77% (

-1.33)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96% (

0.9)

38.04% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19% (

0.86)

74.8% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 46.49%

South Africa 26.26%

Draw 27.24%

Cape Verde	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.49%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.26%