Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Laurent Pokou Stadium

Zambia
0 - 1
Morocco

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ziyech (37')
Hakimi (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Zambia and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Tanzania
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	2	3	4
2	Zambia	2	0	2
3	Congo DR	2	0	2
4	Tanzania	2	-3	1

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Morocco 1-1 Congo DR
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	2	3	4
2	Zambia	2	0	2
3	Congo DR	2	0	2
4	Tanzania	2	-3	1

Expect a cagey opening, with both teams wary of exposing vulnerabilities. Morocco's quality and technical finesse might give them the edge, but Zambia will not go down without a fight. The Atlas Lions have dominated this fixture in the past, and we expect this trend to continue on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Morocco
41.28% ( -0.84)	27.13% ( 0.23)	31.59% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41% (

-0.72)

55.59% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.6)

76.75% (

0.59)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.48% (

-0.78)

26.51% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.29% (

-1.04)

61.7% (

1.03)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55% (

0.05)

32.45% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.03% (

0.06)

68.97% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Zambia 41.27%

Morocco 31.59%

Draw 27.13%

Zambia	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.27%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.59%