Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
We said: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Gimnasia
Tucuman have a little more momentum coming into this encounter, but Gimnasia have always seemed to find a way to share the spoils of late, and we anticipate another close game between two evenly matched sides who have scored the same number of goals this season (20).
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 51.99% . A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.84% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.74%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.65%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
Result Atletico Tucuman Draw Gimnasia 51.99% ( -0.24) 27.17% ( 0.07) 20.84% ( 0.18)
Both teams to score 41.43% ( 0.05)
38.03% ( -0.05) 61.97% ( 0.06)
18.29% ( -0.04) 81.71% ( 0.04)
75.86% ( -0.13) 24.14% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.56% ( -0.19) 58.44% ( 0.19)
54.61% ( 0.16) 45.39% ( -0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 18.76% ( 0.13) 81.24% ( -0.12)
Atletico Tucuman 51.98%
Gimnasia 20.84%
Draw 27.17%
Atletico Tucuman Draw Gimnasia 1-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 51.98% 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.17% 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.84%
How you voted: Tucuman vs Gimnasia
Atletico Tucuman
Draw
Gimnasia
11
rhs 2.0
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