Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Lanus
39.49% ( -0.11)	29.77% ( 0.16)	30.74% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.1% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.15% (

-0.49)

64.85% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.22% (

-0.34)

83.78% (

0.34)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94% (

-0.32)

32.06% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47% (

-0.37)

68.53% (

0.37)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96% (

-0.3)

38.04% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.2% (

-0.29)

74.8% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 39.49%

Lanus 30.73%

Draw 29.76%

Belgrano	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.49%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.76%	0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.66% Total : 30.73%