Boca Juniors

5 - 3

Tigre

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.