Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16

May 14, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 1
Estudiantes

Fernandez (37')
Solari (35'), Caceres (88')
Gutierrez (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rollheiser (45+2')
Ascacibar (76'), Benedetti (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Defensa
Monday, May 8 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Estudiantes

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Estudiantes 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Estudiantes
42.87% ( -0.03)	27.8% ( -0.08)	29.32% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 46.76% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2% (

0.32)

58.8% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.69% (

0.25)

79.31% (

-0.25)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84% (

0.13)

27.15% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

0.17)

62.55% (

-0.17)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.19% (

0.26)

35.81% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41% (

0.26)

72.59% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 42.87%

Estudiantes 29.32%

Draw 27.8%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.87%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.32%