Estudiantes

3 - 1

Barracas Central

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 10.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.