Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
We said: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Defensa y Justicia
As the league table suggests, there is little separating the teams ahead of this one, and we are expecting a tight affair. That said, we also tip the home side to narrowly edge their visitors and nick all three points in the end.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 52.99% . A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.81% .
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.53%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.84%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
Result Godoy Cruz Draw Defensa y Justicia 52.99% ( 2.08) 24.2% ( -0.93) 22.81% ( -1.15)
Both teams to score 51.91% ( 1.51)
50.57% ( 2.65) 49.42% ( -2.65)
28.53% ( 2.33) 71.46% ( -2.33)
81.4% ( 1.86) 18.6% ( -1.86)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.11% ( 3.04) 49.88% ( -3.04)
63.77% ( 0.41) 36.23% ( -0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.99% ( 0.41) 73.01% ( -0.42)
Godoy Cruz 52.98%
Defensa y Justicia 22.81%
Draw 24.19%
Godoy Cruz Draw Defensa y Justicia 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.98% 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.76) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.19% 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.81%
How you voted: Godoy Cruz vs Defensa
Godoy Cruz
Draw
Defensa y Justicia
49
rhs 2.0
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