Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Aug 26, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 0
Lanus

Lema (6' og.)
Ferreira (45+4'), Velazquez (53'), Gomez (57'), Eduardo Recalde (89'), Hoyos (90+2')
Ferreira (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Canale (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, August 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Lanus

All competitions

Last Game: Lanus 0-1 San Lorenzo
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Lanus
40.32% ( -0.33)	29.36% ( -0.33)	30.32% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 43.01% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.32% (

1.19)

63.67% (

-1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.05% (

0.84)

82.95% (

-0.84)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

0.41)

30.96% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.74% (

0.48)

67.26% (

-0.48)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

1.18)

37.7% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

1.14)

74.48% (

-1.14)

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 40.31%

Lanus 30.31%

Draw 29.36%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.31%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.36%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.7% Total : 30.31%