Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.

Result
Platense	Draw	Instituto
42.38% ( -0.15)	28.13% ( 0.3)	29.49% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.14% (

-1.1)

59.86% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.87% (

-0.85)

80.13% (

0.85)

Platense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

-0.6)

27.92% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

-0.78)

63.54% (

0.78)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74% (

-0.71)

36.26% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96% (

-0.72)

73.04% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Platense 42.38%

Instituto 29.49%

Draw 28.12%

Platense	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.38%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.92% Total : 29.49%