MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 10:28:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Atletico Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 1
Tucuman

Garcia (8'), Castro (12'), Florentin (18')
Garcia (50'), Osorio (64'), Gomez (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coronel (61')
Acosta (16'), Coronel (90+5'), Giani (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, September 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, October 3 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Atletico Tucuman

El Decano have been indecisive in the attacking third away from home and have not created many scoring opportunities either, and we expect to see a lot more urgency out of the home side on Monday given their current predicament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.44%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
49.02% (0.442 0.44) 29.31% (0.09 0.09) 21.67% (-0.533 -0.53)
Both teams to score 37.52% (-0.697 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.51% (-0.589 -0.59)67.49% (0.58799999999999 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.4% (-0.397 -0.4)85.6% (0.396 0.4)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)28.13% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)63.81% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.2% (-0.921 -0.92)47.8% (0.92 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.92% (-0.687 -0.69)83.08% (0.685 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 49.01%
    Atletico Tucuman 21.67%
    Draw 29.29%
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 17.05% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 49.01%
0-0 @ 13.44% (0.29 0.29)
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 29.29%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.67%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Atletico Tucuman
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 12.30am
Jul 2, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 6
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Tucuman

Caseres (26'), Florentin (38'), Insua (82'), Brizuela (88')
Capasso (18')
Sandoval (43'), Pereyra (67')
Aug 3, 2021 1.15am
Apr 13, 2021 1.15am
First Phase
Tucuman
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (13'), Lotti (76')
Heredia (49'), Risso (63'), Ortiz (87'), Erbes (90+3')

De La Fuente (49'), Mancuello (90')
Sep 17, 2019 1.10am
Gameweek 6
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Tucuman
Janson (19')
Bouzat (43')

Bravo (36'), Diaz (81'), Acosta (85')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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