Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 31, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Thumama Stadium
Bahrain1 - 3Japan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jordan 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
We said: Bahrain 1-4 Japan
Japan may not have been as convincing as we had expected in the opening phase of this tournament, but they know how to turn it on in these big games, and we expect them to be sharper in the attack, knowing it is a must-win game. Bahrain have held their own throughout this tournament, but their lack of experience in these big matches will make it difficult for them to stay with a side who possess numerous attacking options. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result | ||
Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
35.29% ( -0.72) | 26.28% ( -0.15) | 38.43% ( 0.87) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% ( 0.59) | 51.46% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( 0.52) | 73.27% ( -0.52) |
Bahrain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( -0.15) | 27.97% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( -0.18) | 63.61% ( 0.18) |
Japan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% ( 0.77) | 26.15% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( 1.02) | 61.23% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bahrain 35.29%
Japan 38.43%
Draw 26.28%
Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.43% |
How you voted: 1st Group E vs 2nd Group D
1st Group E
27.6%Draw
10.3%2nd Group D
62.1%58
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 11:36:23
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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