Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
BATE Borisov	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
42.19% ( -0.09)	24.81% ( 0.02)	33% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 57.67% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.54% (

-0.06)

45.46% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.21% (

-0.06)

67.79% (

0.06)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

-0.06)

21.57% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

-0.1)

54.65% (

0.1)

Dnepr Mogilev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

0.01)

26.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35% (

0.01)

61.65% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

BATE Borisov 42.19%

Dnepr Mogilev 33%

Draw 24.81%

BATE Borisov	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.19%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.81%	1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 33%