Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 14

Nov 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

Luminus Arena

Genk
3 - 1
Leuven

Heynen (25', 90'), Munoz (90+5')
Baah (67'), Zeqiri (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Braut Brunes (85')
Miguel (10'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (56'), Opoku (80'), Schrijvers (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions

Belgian Pro League

Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Genk
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leuven

All competitions

Last Game: Leuven 0-2 Westerlo
Saturday, November 4 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Leuven
67.39% ( -0.03)	17.88% ( 0.11)	14.72% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.52% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.47% (

-0.73)

33.53% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.67% (

-0.84)

55.33% (

0.84)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.83% (

-0.2)

9.17% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.93% (

-0.49)

31.07% (

0.49)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.42% (

-0.57)

35.58% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.65% (

-0.6)

72.35% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Genk 67.39%

Leuven 14.72%

Draw 17.88%

Genk	Draw	Leuven
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.81% Total : 67.39%	1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.88%	1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 14.72%