Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Fluminense

Hulk (38' pen., 60')
Silva (22'), Rodrigues de Souza (30'), Keno (44'), Alonso (56'), Costa (90+3'), Jair (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Manoel (14')
Xavier (39'), Braz (46'), Martins (86')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense

To win the Brasileiro Serie A, you have to show consistency throughout the year, and that is something that Atletico have demonstrated during this campaign, so expect to see them come out very determined to pick up another win in their quest for that long-awaited league title. Mineiro have not conceded in three straight home contests, whereas Fluminense have not scored in their last four, so look for those trends to continue on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fluminense
70.13%	18.9%	10.97%

Both teams to score 43.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43%

47.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22%

69.78%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.64%

12.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.8%

38.21%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.5%

50.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15%

85%

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 70.13%

Fluminense 10.97%

Draw 18.9%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fluminense
2-0 @ 13.64% 1-0 @ 13.05% 3-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 4.97% 4-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.88% Total : 70.13%	1-1 @ 8.92% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.9%	0-1 @ 4.27% 1-2 @ 3.05% 0-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.2% Total : 10.97%