Brasileiro | Gameweek 14

Jun 26, 2022 at 1am UK

Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 2
Fortaleza

Rubens (76'), Rever (87'), Jussa (90+6' og.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Romarinho (3', 29')
Ronald (53'), Boeck (78'), Crispim (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Internacional	14	7	24
4	Atletico Mineiro	13	5	21
5	Athletico Paranaense	13	0	21

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Fortaleza

While Atletico Mineiro will be considered as favourites for Saturday's contest, an upturn in form for Fortaleza suggests that a closely-fought encounter could be on the cards. Nevertheless, the hosts should have enough quality in their side, particularly in the final third, to come away with all three points in Belo Horizonte. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 13.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
65.43% ( -1.12)	20.72% ( 0.47)	13.84% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.48% (

-0.56)

48.52% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.35% (

-0.51)

70.65% (

0.51)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96% (

-0.52)

14.03% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.41% (

-1.02)

41.59% (

1.02)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.73% (

0.65)

46.27% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.07% (

0.5)

81.93% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 65.42%

Fortaleza 13.84%

Draw 20.72%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 65.42%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.72%	0-1 @ 5% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.84%