Brasileiro | Gameweek 26

Oct 8, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Bragantino

Pablo (40')
Fernandinho (45+3'), Canobbio (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ramires (34')
Helinho (10'), Capixaba (14'), Silva (67'), Raul (79'), Caixinha (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Coritiba 2-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bragantino

All competitions

Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Bragantino
44.14% ( 1.42)	26.03% ( -0.12)	29.84% ( -1.29)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.14% (

-0.02)

51.86% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38% (

-0.01)

73.62% (

0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

0.69)

23.39% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

0.99)

57.37% (

-0.98)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22% (

-0.92)

31.78% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79% (

-1.08)

68.21% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 44.13%

Bragantino 29.84%

Draw 26.03%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.13%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.84%