Botafogo

2 - 0

Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.