Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2020 at 12am UK
Castelao
Ceara2 - 0Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Bahia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Bahia |
| 42.22% | 28.37% | 29.41% |
| Both teams to score 45.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
