Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Cuiaba
60.33% ( 0.47)	22.84% ( -0.08)	16.83% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

-0.33)

51.6% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

-0.29)

73.39% (

0.28)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

0.05)

16.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.37% (

0.08)

46.63% (

-0.09)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.01% (

-0.7)

43.99% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.88% (

-0.58)

80.12% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 60.32%

Cuiaba 16.83%

Draw 22.83%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 60.32%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.83%	0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.58% Total : 16.83%