Fluminense

2 - 1

Palmeiras

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.