Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 1
Freiburg

Uduokhai (72'), Engels (81')
Vargas (23'), Bauer (79'), Iago (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grifo (19' pen.)
Hofler (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Lens
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Freiburg

Freiburg will be full of confidence after Thursday's European outing, and we think that they will follow that result with a narrow win over an Augsburg side that has lost two of their previous three home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Freiburg
37.67% ( -1)	24.66% ( 0.32)	37.67% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 59% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93% (

-1.51)

44.07% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55% (

-1.48)

66.45% (

1.48)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81% (

-1.18)

23.19% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92% (

-1.76)

57.08% (

1.76)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81% (

-0.33)

23.19% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92% (

-0.48)

57.08% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 37.67%

Freiburg 37.67%

Draw 24.66%

Augsburg	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67%