Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 0
Union Berlin

Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
Amiri (19')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Khedira (24'), Siebatcheu (26'), Thorsby (41'), Leite (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Brugge
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Union Berlin
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Union Berlin

Leverkusen could benefit from having an additional two days' rest compared to their opponents, who are surely set to lose hold of top spot sooner or later given the form of Bayern since the return from September's international break. The goals have dried up in recent weeks for Siebatcheu and Sheraldo Becker, meaning Union Berlin may have to settle for a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union Berlin
47.29% ( 2.3)	25.38% ( -0.52)	27.33% ( -1.79)

Both teams to score 52.67% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

1.08)

50.57% (

-1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.95)

72.49% (

-0.95)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

1.5)

21.39% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61% (

2.26)

54.38% (

-2.27)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

-0.8)

32.99% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

-0.9)

69.57% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 47.28%

Union Berlin 27.33%

Draw 25.38%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.28%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.33%