Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Jan 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Schick (70')
Schick (67'), Demirbay (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toprak (52')
Augustinsson (54'), Mbom (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
56.2%	21.52%	22.28%

Both teams to score 60.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86%

38.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.59%

60.41%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.51%

13.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48%

40.52%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.57%

30.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.37%

66.62%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 56.2%

Werder Bremen 22.28%

Draw 21.52%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 6.54% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.28% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.2%	1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.52%	1-2 @ 5.82% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.89% Total : 22.28%