Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
5 - 1
Bayern

Marmoush (12'), Ebimbe (31', 50'), Larsson (36'), Knauff (60')
Marmoush (67')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kimmich (44')
Min-jae (23'), Sane (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern Munich

Frankfurt's form has fallen off a cliff at the worst possible moment in terms of facing Germany's biggest club and strongest team. Only Freiburg and the bottom eight teams have scored fewer goals than Toppmoller's side in the Bundesliga so far this season, so we can envisage them blanking on Saturday. The same can certainly not be said for Bayern, who are outscoring every other side in Germany once again. Their defensive record of nine goals conceded in 12 games is also the best record, and they will be confident of moving top of the table with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Bayern Munich
24.71% ( -0.01)	21.01% ( -0)	54.27% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 65.27% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.14% (

-0.01)

32.85% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.44% (

-0.02)

54.56% (

0.01)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44% (

-0.02)

25.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.57% (

-0.02)

60.42% (

0.02)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.68% (

-0)

12.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.89% (

-0)

38.1%

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 24.71%

Bayern Munich 54.27%

Draw 21.01%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.71%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.01%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.44% 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.61% Total : 54.27%