Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Koln

Woo-yeong (53'), Gregoritsch (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schindler (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 2-2 Nice
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg should be significantly fresher than their opponents having rested almost their entire strongest XI in midweek, and we expect them to remain third in the table at worst by claiming a crucial victory. This will be Koln's fourth match in 10 days and fatigue is likely to catch up with them sooner rather than later, especially after the disappointment of failing to beat Nice and advance to the knockout stages of the Europa Conference League on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	FC Koln
50.98% ( -0.03)	23.6% ( 0.09)	25.42% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.76% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

-0.48)

44.39% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

-0.47)

66.77% (

0.47)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

-0.19)

17.47% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05% (

-0.34)

47.95% (

0.34)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

-0.31)

31.22% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-0.36)

67.57% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 50.98%

FC Koln 25.42%

Draw 23.59%

Freiburg	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.42%