Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Bayern

Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46
10	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	-7	45

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayern Munich

Hoffenheim are likely to cause this shaky Bayern defence some problems on Saturday, especially given their excellent recent form, but with several defensive absentees, they could struggle to contain this deadly opposition strikeforce. If Lewandowski and co can replicate their exceptional standards of midweek, then there's no reason why Bayern will not stroll to another comfortable victory despite the calibre of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayern Munich
20.25%	19.1%	60.65%

Both teams to score 66.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.88%

29.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.88%

50.12%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05%

26.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72%

62.28%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.51%

9.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.16%

31.83%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 20.25%

Bayern Munich 60.65%

Draw 19.1%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.18% 1-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 2.26% 2-0 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.63% Total : 20.25%	1-1 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 2.56% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.1%	1-2 @ 9.3% 1-3 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 7.09% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 5.57% 2-3 @ 4.79% 1-4 @ 4.3% 0-4 @ 3.28% 2-4 @ 2.82% 1-5 @ 2.03% 0-5 @ 1.54% 2-5 @ 1.33% 3-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.06% Total : 60.65%