Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
0 - 1
Union Berlin

Kilian (10'), Pedersen (54'), Schindler (72'), Baumgart (85')
Kilian (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hubers (4' og.)
Knoche (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

Last Six:

Last Game: Nice 1-1 FC Koln
Thursday, September 8 at 6.40pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Mainz 05	6	-3	10
7	FC Koln	5	4	9
8	Borussia Monchengladbach	5	2	8

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 Union SG
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Borussia Dortmund	6	1	12
5	Union Berlin	5	8	11
6	Mainz 05	6	-3	10

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Union Berlin

With both sides competing in Europe on Thursday and unlikely to want to lose their unbeaten starts to the domestic season, we can envisage a stalemate on Sunday. These teams both prefer to counter-attack, which may produce a cagey encounter at RheinEnergieStadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Union Berlin
47.26% ( -0.2)	24.41% ( -0.03)	28.33% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 56.55% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

0.27)

45.83% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

0.26)

68.14% (

-0.25)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51% (

0.02)

19.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.64% (

0.04)

51.36% (

-0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

0.31)

29.77% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

0.37)

65.84% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 47.26%

Union Berlin 28.33%

Draw 24.41%

FC Koln	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 47.26%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 28.33%