Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Augsburg

Guirassy (15'), Anton (90+1')
Pfeiffer (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Niederlechner (4')
Gruezo (13'), Rexhbecaj (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Augsburg

With the visitors missing so many key players through injury, we can envisage the hosts taking full advantage to claim only their second league win of the season. Augsburg are likely to be ruing dropping points against Leipzig from such a strong position last time out, and we can see them struggling both mentally and physically until they get more players off the treatment table and back on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Augsburg
58.34% ( 0.04)	21.8% ( -0.01)	19.86% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

0.02)

42.72% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

0.02)

65.12% (

-0.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.65% (

0.02)

14.35% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.79% (

0.04)

42.21% (

-0.04)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

-0.02)

35.32% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.93% (

-0.02)

72.07% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 58.34%

Augsburg 19.86%

Draw 21.8%

Stuttgart	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.34%	1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.86%