Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 14, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stuttgart
0 - 5
Bayern

Karazor (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gnabry (40', 53', 74'), Lewandowski (69', 72')
Davies (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern Munich

Stuttgart are likely to put up a good fight on home soil on Tuesday evening, but despite Bayern barely getting out of second gear lately, they should overcome their hosts to record a fourth-straight league win here. It is the reason that they have been Bundesliga champions for so long, but unless they put in a dreadful display, and Stuttgart put in a near-perfect performance, it is difficult to see anything other than an away win at the Mercedes Benz Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 2-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Bayern Munich
16.07%	17.04%	66.89%

Both teams to score 65.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.78%

26.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.5%

46.5%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87%

29.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94%

65.06%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.64%

7.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.43%

26.57%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 16.07%

Bayern Munich 66.89%

Draw 17.04%

Stuttgart	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.26% 1-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-1 @ 1.75% 2-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.5% Total : 16.07%	1-1 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 2.14% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.04%	1-2 @ 9% 1-3 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 7.3% 0-3 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-4 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 4.83% 0-4 @ 4.14% 2-4 @ 3.15% 1-5 @ 2.67% 0-5 @ 2.16% 2-5 @ 1.64% 3-4 @ 1.3% 1-6 @ 1.16% 0-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.72% Total : 66.89%