Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Fullkrug (29'), Schmidt (43'), Ducksch (59')
Friedl (45+1'), Pieper (47'), Jung (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Schlotterbeck (45+1'), Hofmann (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Freiburg
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 VfL Bochum

Neither side will be at full strength due to a combination of injury and suspension issues, but we still expect Werder to edge to victory given Bochum's wretched record on the road this season. The relegation strugglers have lost 10 of their 11 away games in the Bundesliga, conceding 32 goals and scoring only seven. Having blanked in his last three matches, Niclas Fullkrug will surely sense an opportunity to add to his tally of 13 league goals so far this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	VfL Bochum
43.61% ( 0.37)	24.1% ( -0.09)	32.29% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 59.9% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.59% (

0.29)

42.41% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18% (

0.29)

64.82% (

-0.29)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.28)

19.65% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.37% (

0.45)

51.63% (

-0.46)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-0.03)

25.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

-0.04)

60.26% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 43.61%

VfL Bochum 32.29%

Draw 24.1%

Werder Bremen	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.29%