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[monks data]
Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Coventry City

Cardiff
3 - 1
Coventry

Moore (31', 38'), Murphy (46')
Flint (59'), Morrison (80'), Bennett (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hyam (81')
Biamou (58')

Preview: Cardiff City vs. Coventry City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cardiff City will be looking to maintain their unbeaten start under Mick McCarthy when they host Coventry City on Saturday afternoon.

The Bluebirds have followed up back-to-back draws with successive wins in their four games under the experienced coach to move up to 11th.

Coventry are winless in three Championship outings, meanwhile, and enter this clash at the Cardiff City Stadium in 19th place.


Match preview

Cardiff City's Sheyi Ojo scores their first goal against Rotherham in the Championship on February 9, 2021© Reuters

Cardiff's late 2-1 win at Rotherham United on Tuesday, coming three days on from a 2-0 victory at Servernside rivals Bristol City, has revived hope of a playoff charge.

The Bluebirds have put together successive wins for the first time since a run of four in a row between November 28 and December 8, leaving them eight points off the top six.

That is still a big gap to make up at this stage in the campaign, but McCarthy's men face three sides below them in the division in their next three outings.

Coventry will not make life easy for their Welsh opponents, but they have struggled for wins in recent weeks, taking maximum points in just two of their last 10 matches.

Coventry City manager Mark Robins pictured in November 2020© Reuters

However, that run includes a goalless draw at home to automatic promotion contenders Watford last time out, with the Sky Blues the better side at St Andrew's in that stalemate.

Mark Robins's side also drew 1-1 with Birmingham City in their most recent away match, albeit with that game taking place at their temporary St Andrew's home.

Coventry are in need of wins, though, as they sit just three points above the dropzone, having also played one game more than Derby County in the final relegation spot.

The Sky Blues won the reverse fixture 1-0 in November - Tyler Walker scoring the only goal in that one - and are looking for their first league double over Cardiff since 1965-66.

Cardiff City Championship form: LLDDWW

Coventry City Championship form: WLWDLD
Coventry City form (all competitions): LLWDLD


Team News

Cardiff City's Harry Wilson celebrates scoring with teammates against Barnsley on November 3, 2020© Reuters

January signing Jonny Williams remains a major doubt for Cardiff with a knock sustained in training, while fellow playmaker Lee Tomlin is a long-term absentee.

The other only fitness doubt for City is goalkeeper Alex Smithies, who had to be stretchered off last week after falling ill and has seen his place taken by Dillon Phillips.

McCarthy went with a back five against Rotherham and may stick with a winning formula, with rare goalscorer Joe Bennett and Perry Ng - impressive since arriving last month - at wing-back.

Marlon Pack could provide the hosts with some fresh legs in the middle, but Will Vaulks and Joe Ralls have performed well and will be confident of retaining their places in the side.

As for the visitors, they have had to cope with a growing list of injuries and positive coronavirus cases, with goalkeeper Ben Wilson and centre-back Kyle McFadzean among those sidelined.

Julien Da Costa replaced Josh Pask at right wing-back against Watford and will likely retain his place here, with Sam McCallum on the other flank as the teams match each other in terms of formation.

Striker Maxime Biamou has struggled for goals this term, netting just three times in 20 appearances, but he is favourite to get the nod up top here.

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Phillips; Morrison, Flint, Nelson; Ng, Vaulks, Ralls, Bennett; Wilson, Moore, Ojo

Coventry City possible starting lineup:
Marosi; Rose, Ostigard, Hyam; Dacosta, Allen, James, Hamer, McCallum; O'Hare, Biamou


SM words green background

We say: Cardiff City 2-0 Coventry City

Cardiff finally have a bit of momentum on their side thanks to a four-game unbeaten streak since McCarthy came in, the last two of those ending in victory.

Coventry held Watford last time out and beat Cardiff in the reverse meeting, but we are backing the hosts to come out on top in this encounter.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Cardiff vs Coventry

Cardiff City
67.3%
Draw
21.2%
Coventry City
11.5%
52
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Mick McCarthy in charge of Cardiff City in February 2021
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